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    The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.

    • Title:The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.
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    • Author/Creator:Silver, Nate, 1978-
    • Published/Created:New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
    • Holdings

       
    • Library of Congress Subjects:Forecasting.
      Forecasting--Methodology.
      Forecasting--History.
      Bayesian statistical decision theory.
      Knowledge, Theory of.
    • Medical Subjects: Forecasting
    • Genre/Form:History.
    • Description:534 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm.
    • Summary:Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
    • Notes:Includes bibliographical references and index.
    • ISBN:9781594204111 (hbk.)
      159420411X (hbk.)
    • Contents:Machine generated contents note: 1. Catastrophic Failure Of Prediction
      2. Are You Smarter Than A Television Pundit?
      3. All I Care About Is W'S And L'S
      4. For Years You've Been Telling Us That Rain Is Green
      5. Desperately Seeking Signal
      6. How To Drown In Three Feet Of Water
      7. Role Models
      8. Less And Less And Less Wrong
      9. Rage Against The Machines
      10. Poker Bubble
      11. If You Can't Beat 'Em ...
      12. Climate Of Healthy Skepticism
      13. What You Don't Know Can Hurt You.
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